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February 12, 2026

North American Summary and Highlights 12 Feb
Freemium Article

February 12, 2026 8:45 PM UTC

Overview - Weak US data contributed to risk off sentiment, leaving the USD mixed but marginally firmer overall.  

Chart USD/SGD Update: Balanced at critical support
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 6:09 PM UTC

Anticipated losses are giving way to consolidation above critical support at the 1.2586 current year low of 28 January and congestion around 1.2600

Chart USD/CNH Update: Prices remain under pressure
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 6:03 PM UTC

Little change to the bearish sentiment, as prices extend April 2025 losses to pressure congestion support at 6.9000

Chart USD/CAD Update: Corrective bounce
Freemium Article

February 12, 2026 5:11 PM UTC

The anticipated test of 1.3600 is extending

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Preview: Due February 20 - U.S. Q4 GDP - GDP and Core PCE Prices both seen at 2.6%
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 4:48 PM UTC

We expect a 2.6% annualized increase in Q4 GDP, well above a flat forecast we had entering the quarter, but off a peak estimate of 3.6%, with weaker November trade and December retail sales data having trimmed the forecast. December trade data, due on February 19, remains a significant source of unc

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, February 13th
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 4:00 PM UTC

U.S. January CPI A stronger month but slower yr/yr
More Correction in USD/JPY
Aussie Looks Set to Benefit From Solid Metal

U.S. January Existing Home Sales - Sharp fall was signaled by pending home sales
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 3:17 PM UTC

January existing home sales are well below expectations with a fall of 8.4% to 3.91m, the lowest level since September 2024. Bad weather may have played a part but given that pending home sales fell by 9.3% in December, weather is unlikely to be the whole story.

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 3:04 PM UTC

Cautious trade around the 15.8800 Fibonacci retracement is giving way to a break lower

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Cautious trade - studies under pressure
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 2:59 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 1.6100

U.S. Initial Claims remain inflated by weather, but February payroll likely to be weaker than January's
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 1:48 PM UTC

Initial claims at 227k are down from 232k but still higher than expected and higher than the seven preceding weeks. We suspect weather is playing a part in the recent upturn in initial claims, though the data suggests that February’s payroll will not be as strong as January’s.

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Choppy in range
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 1:31 PM UTC

The anticipated test above resistance at 0.9150 has met selling interest beneath 0.9180/00

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Preview: Due February 13 - U.S. January CPI - A stronger month but slower yr/yr
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 1:13 PM UTC

We expect a 0.2% increase in January’s CPI, with a 0.3% rise ex food and energy, though risks are to the upside with our forecasts before rounding being for gains of 0.24% overall and 0.34% ex food and energy. The latter would be the strongest since August. 

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Limited gains from fresh 2026 year low
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 12:57 PM UTC

The anticipated break below the 181.78 monthly low of 26 January has posted a fresh 2026 year low around 180.85

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Consolidating - room for a minor test lower
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 12:07 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious/choppy trade within resistance at 0.8695/00 - 0.8720

Chart USD/CHF Update: Further consolidation - critical support at 0.7600
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 11:36 AM UTC

Cautious trade above 0.7700 has given way to a minor pullback

Psychology for major markets Feb 12
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 10:41 AM UTC

Risk Positive and USD Lower

FX Daily Strategy: N America, February 12th
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 10:01 AM UTC

Expect Turbulence after NFP 
Likely in USD/JPY
U.S. January Existing Home Sales Reversing a strong December gain
UK GDP To Show Underlying Economy Fragility Continues?

Chart AUD/USD Update: Balanced at highs
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 9:50 AM UTC

Prices have posted a fresh 2026 year high around 0.7145

Chart USD/JPY Update: Prices remain under pressure
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 9:26 AM UTC

The anticipated break below 153.00 has bounced from above critical support at the 152.10~

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Consolidating - studies leaning lower
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 9:20 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 97.00

Chart EUR/USD Update: Daily studies turning down
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 8:49 AM UTC

Anticipated minor gains have not been seen, with prices breaking below 1.1900 to reach support at 1.1838

Chart GBP/USD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

February 12, 2026 8:35 AM UTC

The anticipated test of resistance at 1.3700 has given way to a pullback

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Cuba: Pressure Grows
Paying Article

February 12, 2026 8:05 AM UTC

·       The Donroe doctrine has pressured Mexico into halting oil exports to Cuba, which is intensifying pressure on Cuba’s regime.  While chaos and attempted mass immigration is a risk, the baseline is for a negotiated deal as U.S./Cuba discussions deepen – though with the added complex

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UK GDP Review: Underlying Economy Fragility Does Continue
Freemium Article

February 12, 2026 7:52 AM UTC

First the good news; the UK economy grew for a second successive month in December, something not seen for almost a year.  But as is familiar with recent UK real economy data, there is a negative flip side with the 0.1 m/m December advance negated by downward revisions to previous figures (November

Asia Summary and Highlights 12 Feb
Freemium Article

February 12, 2026 6:21 AM UTC

Atsushi Mimura reiterates high-urgency monitoring stance
Bloomberg reports Hedge funds boost yen bets as buy Japan trade strengthens