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June 29, 2026

Chart USD/CAD Update: Gains to remain limited
Freemium Article

June 29, 2026 3:44 PM UTC

Cautious trade is giving way to a drift higher

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, Jun 30th
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 3:21 PM UTC

Still in dollar consolidation/correction mode. Period end, options, wait for payrolls also
Spec mkt long dollars and at extreme for GBP. Latter could risk a squeeze
ECB conference, inflation data on the calendar

Preview: Due July 15 - U.S. June PPI - Some fading from recent strength
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 3:16 PM UTC

We expect an unchanged June PPI, a significant slowing from two straight gains of 1.1% as energy corrects from recent strength and other inflationary stimuli from the conflict in the Middle East fade. We expect a 0.4% rise ex food and energy, matching May’s outcome, and also a 0.4% increase ex foo

Chart AUD/USD Update: Leaning lower
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 1:39 PM UTC

Cautious trade has given way to a break below 0.6900, with prices currently balanced in range extension beneath here

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Gains to remain limited
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 1:32 PM UTC

Consolidation around 184.65 has given way to a pullback to congestion support at 184.00

A Strong U.S. Q2 Report Now Looks Unlikely
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 1:26 PM UTC

After a sharp deterioration in May’s trade deficit, previously positive forecasts for Q2 GDP need to be trimmed significantly, though there is still uncertainty over June data. We now expect a Q2 GDP increase of only 0.9%, down from a  previous estimate of 2.3%. After an upward revision to Q1 our

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A Strong U.S. Q2 Report Now Looks Unlikely
Freemium Article

June 29, 2026 1:18 PM UTC

After a sharp deterioration in May’s trade deficit, previously positive forecasts for Q2 GDP need to be trimmed significantly, though there is still uncertainty over June data. We now expect a Q2 GDP increase of only 0.9%, down from a  previous estimate of 2.3%. After an upward revision to Q1 our

Chart USD/JPY Update: Consolidating - background studies rising
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 1:05 PM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath critical resistance at the 161.95 multi-year high of July 2024

Preview: Due June 30 - Canada April GDP - Growth resuming
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 12:10 PM UTC

We expect April GDP to increase by 0.3%, not quite as strong as a 0.4% estimate given with March’s report. After a 0.1% decline in March this would still leave quite a subdued picture though Q2 looks likely to see a return to growth after marginal declines seen in both Q4 2025 and Q1 2026. 

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Consolidating gains - studies improving
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 11:44 AM UTC

Little change, as recent gains give way to extended consolidation within the 4.2800 - 4.2930~ range

GBP/USD flows: Manchesterism; max GBP spec shorts at risk of buy the fact?
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 11:13 AM UTC

PM-elect speech focuses on devolution so far, as expected
IMM data shows max levles of GBP shorts - suggests some risks of a short-squeeze / buy-fact ahead

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Consolidating - any tests lower to remain limited
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 10:50 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 16.4000

Europe Summary and Highlights 29 Jun
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 10:23 AM UTC

Slow morning, consolidation with minor dollar drift

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 10:22 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade above support at 1.6150

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Cautious trade
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 10:02 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend consolidation beneath congestion resistance at 0.9230

Psychology for major markets June 29
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 9:35 AM UTC

Crossfire ended early

FX Weekly Strategy: N America, Jun 29 - Jul 3
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 9:06 AM UTC

EZ HICP seen peaking, US payrolls solid but flattered
Central bank get-together. Rate hike expectations easing in tandem
Dollar still firm, but market to finish unwinding overbought conditions

Chart USD/CHF Update: Cautious trade - daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 8:26 AM UTC

Anticipated minor tests lower have bounced from 0.8065

IMM Commitment of Traders Reports w/e Jun 23
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 8:19 AM UTC

Latest IMM data underscores mkt strongly long-dollar, playing to current overbought pullback/consolidation
CAD (pre USMCA) and NZD shorts large; AUD remains more sidelined if forced out of longs
GBP shorts at historic highs - last out here in 2017 
This occurring at the EUR/GBP range lows - so creates

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Cautious beneath highs
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 8:15 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade above congestion support at 101.00

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Choppy in range
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 7:55 AM UTC

Anticipated tests higher have been pushed back sharply from congestion resistance at 0.8650

Chart EUR/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 7:44 AM UTC

The anticipated test above resistance at congestion around 1.1400 and the 1.1410 monthly low of 13 March has been pushed back from 1.1435~

Chart GBP/USD Update: Limited tests higher
Freemium Article

June 29, 2026 7:33 AM UTC

Consolidation around 1.3200 is giving way to a test higher

Chart AUD/NZD Update: Leaning lower in consolidation
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 7:23 AM UTC

Leaning lower in consolidation from the 1.2255 high of last week

...
China Yuan to 6.65 Then 6.50?
Paying Article

June 29, 2026 7:10 AM UTC

 ·       We feel that the authorities will pause appreciation at times via FX intervention, but then allow appreciation to restart.  We now see further Yuan appreciation to 6.65 by end 2026, though the authorities will be reluctant to see much more.  For end 2027 we forecast USDCNY at 6.50

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