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April 19, 2024

Asia Summary and Highlights 19 Apr
Freemium Article

April 19, 2024 4:10 AM UTC

Israel retaliated with potential missile and drones attack in Iran
But Iran said "there have been no airstrikes, only shot-down quadcopters"
Japan National y/y CPI at 2.7%, down from 2.8% 

FX Daily Strategy: Europe, April 18th
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 4:05 AM UTC

Japanese CPI Continue to Moderate
Underlying weak JPY trend only likely to turn with lower US yields
GBP downside risks on retail sales
EUR/NOK due to turn lower

AUD/USD flows: Equities in a see of Red, so as the Aussie
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 3:59 AM UTC

Equities in a sea of red globally on geopolitical fear

USD/JPY flows: Dropped along Isreal's "drones"
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 3:48 AM UTC

Israel retaliated with potential missile and drones attack in Iran
But Iran said "there have been no airstrikes, only shot-down quadcopters"
Japan National y/y CPI at 2.7%, down from 2.8% 

Chart AUD/USD Update: Break to fresh low see room to .6350/39 next
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 3:27 AM UTC

 Shallow bounce above the .6442 resistance has seen prices giving way to fresh selling pressure 

Chart USD/IDR Updates: Extending gains
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 3:14 AM UTC

Rebound from 16159 low extending gains through the 16265 high to reach fresh YTD high

Chart USD/THB Update: Poised for retest of 36.90 high and bull extension
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 2:53 AM UTC

Pressure remains on the upside and clear break above the 36.80 congestion expose the 36.90 YTD high to retest

Chart USD/KRW Update: Rebound return focus to the 1400.00 high
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 2:44 AM UTC

Corrective pullback from the 1400.00 high held firm at the 1371.00 support

Chart USD/SGD Update: Rebound return focus to the 1.3670 high
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 2:27 AM UTC

No follow-through on break of the 1.3600 level with rebound from the 1.3578 low returning focus to the 1.3670 high

Chart GBP/USD Update: Under pressure
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 1:59 AM UTC

Coming under fresh selling pressure after bounce attempt was checked at the 1.2485

Chart EUR/USD Update: Under pressure, focus return to 1.0600 low
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 1:42 AM UTC

Coming under fresh selling pressure after corrective bounce stalled ahead of the 1.0695/1.0700 resistance

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Extending consolidation below 165.00/35 highs
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 12:58 AM UTC

Break above the 164.00 level has seen gains to approach the 165.00 level

Chart USD/JPY Update: Limited pullback from 154.79 high
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 12:47 AM UTC

Consolidating test of a 10-month equidistance channel from the July 2023 low at the 154.79 high

Chart NZD/USD Update: Consolidating at the .5900 level
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 12:33 AM UTC

Settled back in consolidation at the .5900 level after bounce attempt stalled ahead of the .5940 resistance

Chart AUD/USD Update: Limited bounce from the .6390 low
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 12:12 AM UTC

Little change, after failure to sustain bounce above resistance at the .6442 low of February

Asia Open - Overnight Highlights
Paying Article

April 19, 2024 12:00 AM UTC

EMERGING ASIA
EM currencies perform individually against the USD as the greenback retraced earlier losses on strong manufacturing index. SGD saw the largest losses of 0.12%, followed by CNH 0.08%, HKD, PHP and INR 0.01%; while the biggest winner is KRW by 1.00%, TWD 0.34%, IDR 0.28%, MYR 0.16% and TH

April 18, 2024

FX Daily Strategy: Asia, April 18th
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 9:00 PM UTC

JPY may get some support from Japanese CPI
Underlying weak JPY trend only likely to turn with lower US yields
GBP downside risks on retail sales
EUR/NOK due to turn lower

North American Summary and Highlights 18 Apr
Freemium Article

April 18, 2024 7:56 PM UTC

Overview - The USD saw modest gains with the help of stronger data from the Philly Fed manufacturing survey. 

U.S. Fed's Bostic - No need to ease if labor market stays strong
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 4:21 PM UTC

Chart USD/BRL Update: Balanced at fresh 2024 year highs - studies remain positive
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 4:11 PM UTC

Anticipated gains have reached fresh 12-month highs around 5.2900

Preview: Due April 23 - U.S. March New Home Sales - Stable through Q1, downside risk in Q2
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 4:09 PM UTC

We expect a March new home sales total of 665k, almost unchanged from both February’s 662k and January’s 664k. Looking into Q2, some slowing is to be expected.

Chart USD/CAD Update: Leaning lower
Freemium Article

April 18, 2024 3:52 PM UTC

Anticipated losses have broken below 1.3800 to reach 1.3760, where oversold intraday studies are prompting short-term reactions

Preview: Due April 23 - U.S. March S&P PMIs - Manufacturing to rise, Services to slip
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 3:34 PM UTC

We expect March’s S and P PMIs to show a pick-up in manufacturing to 53.0 from 51.9, reaching its highest since May 2022, but a third straight slowing in services to 51.0 from 51.7. 

FX Daily Strategy: APAC, April 18th
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 3:17 PM UTC

JPY may get some support from Japanese CPI
Underlying weak JPY trend only likely to turn with lower US yields
GBP downside risks on retail sales
EUR/NOK due to turn lower

Chart AUD/USD Update: Cautious trade above support at 0.6400/10
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 2:23 PM UTC

The anticipated test of resistance at the 0.6443 monthly low of 13 February is giving way to consolidation

U.S. March Existing Home Sales - Corrects strong February rise, further slippage likely
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 2:10 PM UTC

March existing home sales with a 4.3% decline corrected a sharp 9.5% February increase. 2023 also saw a sharp February increase that was gradually reversed and more during the rest of the year. As rate cut hopes fade, existing home sales look set to slip further.

Chart EUR/JPY Update: Consolidating at highs - studies coming under pressure
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 2:09 PM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath resistance at 165.00

Chart USD/JPY Update: Further consolidation at 34-year highs - bullish daily studies fading
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 1:44 PM UTC

Still little change in trade

Chart USD Index DXY Update: Under pressure - room for lower
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 1:38 PM UTC

The anticipated break below 106.00 has reached 105.75~

USD flows: USD well supported after Philly Fed strength
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 1:12 PM UTC

USD marginally higher after Philly Fed, with highest manufacturing index for 2 years

U.S. Initial Claims stay low and stable, Philly Fed picks up in April
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 12:57 PM UTC

Initial claims are unchanged at 212k, still suggesting a tight labor market in the April non-farm payroll survey week. April’s Philly Fed manufacturing survey at 15.5 from 3.2 is the highest since April 2022 and does follow recent signs of improvement in the ISM and S and P national manufacturing

Chart USD/RUB Update: Balanced at highs - critical resistance at 95.4750
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 11:36 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend pressure on resistance at the 94.5925 Fibonacci retracement

Chart EUR/PLN Update: Room for a minor test lower
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 11:13 AM UTC

The pullback from just beneath resistance at 4.3500 is extending

Chart USD/ZAR Update: Further consolidation. Daily studies under pressure
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 10:19 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation following the test of resistance within 19.0000 - 19.1050

European Summary and Highlights 18 Apr
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 10:18 AM UTC

The USD was slightly firmer through the European morning, gaining around 0.1% against the EUR and JPY but seeing little change against GBP and the commodity currencies. 

Psychology for major markets Apr 18
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 10:15 AM UTC

USD correcting slightly lower but firm yields continue to provide underlying support

Chart EUR/CAD Update: Consolidating - potential for a minor test lower
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 10:00 AM UTC

Little change, as prices extend cautious trade beneath congestion resistance at 1.4700

FX Daily Strategy: N America, April 18th
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 9:02 AM UTC

AUD still vulnerable on higher US yields
Australian employment report could trigger a test lower
JPY weakness and AUD weakness moving in tandem due to rising US yields
BoJ needs to act soon or risk losing credibility
EUR/USD likely to hold the range

...
Central and Latin America: Country Risk Ratings
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 9:00 AM UTC

We provide country risk reviews for Central America countries including Brazil/Mexico/Peru/Argentina/Cuba and El Salvador.  

Chart EUR/CHF Update: Consolidating - studies under pressure
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 8:13 AM UTC

The test of strong support at 0.9684/94 is giving way to further consolidation

Chart USD/CHF Update: Under pressure
Freemium Article

April 18, 2024 7:56 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend cautious trade around 0.9100

Chart EUR/GBP Update: Smart bounce - studies improving
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 7:46 AM UTC

Cautious trade around support at 0.8525 has given way to a sharp bounce

Chart EUR/USD Update: Higher in corrective trade
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 7:36 AM UTC

Consolidation above strong support at the 1.0610 Fibonacci retracement and congestion around 1.0600 is giving way to the anticipated test higher

Chart GBP/USD Update: Consolidating above fresh 2024 low - limited tests higher
Freemium Article

April 18, 2024 7:23 AM UTC

Still little change, as prices extend consolidation above congestion support at 1.2400

Chart GBP/JPY Update: Extending consolidation at the 192.00 level
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 7:06 AM UTC

Extending consolidation at the 192.00 level

Chart AUD/JPY Update: Bounce at the 99.00/98.60 support
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 6:54 AM UTC

Turning higher from test of the strong support at the 99.00/98.60 previous highs

USD, EUR, JPY, AUD, GBP flows: USD softer as yields dip
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 6:52 AM UTC

USD corrected lower with US yields overnight. Little news scheduled today but Fed speakers could drive trade. GBP softer after Bailey comments

Chart USD/CNH Update: Extending pullback from the 7.2830 high
Paying Article

April 18, 2024 5:37 AM UTC

Extending pullback from the 7.2830 high and break of the 7.2500 congestion see room to extend losses to the 7.2340, February high